Saturday, September 29, 2018

NFL Week 4 picks

I did alright last week going 4-3 while picking the Browns to end their losing streak and picked a big underdog in the Giants (+230) over the Texans, but I know I can do better overall. I have to stop picking games where I'm not seeing as much info for the game ala the Jags pick last week.

Picking a lot of games this week, there's some games which are more clear reads than others.

September 30th is the 273rd day of the year and leaves 92 days left in the year.

9+30+20+18=77
9+30+2+0+1+8=50
9+3+0+2+0+1+8=23
9+30+18=57
9+30=39


Texans vs Colts

Frank Reich=93
Indianapolis Colts=93 s-exception
Bill O'Brien could get his 39th loss on 9/30

If Andrew Luck wins he'll be on 45 wins and they play New England=45 next week
If Luck wins he'll also stay on 32 losses and he can get #33 next week against Tom=33 and the team from Massachusetts=33

Although this is the 33rd matchup of the two teams so Luck could get his 33rd loss
Bill O'Brien is going for his 33rd overall win

This is a tough one, but I like the narrative of the Colts and Pats winning to setup an interesting TNF matchup next week. The one thing I will caution about is that the line movement is weird, the Colts are only 1 point favorites at home against a winless team and the Colts have been competitive in every game.

Pick: Indianapolis Colts


Bills vs Packers

New York=39, Game is on 9/30

Aaron Rodgers could get 50th loss on day with 50 date numerology, 9+30+2+0+1+8=50

Rodgers is going for his 96th regular season win, Freemason=96, their logo is the G which the Packers wear on their helmet

He's facing Josh Allen=96

Bills can become 1-3 with a loss
This is the 13th meeting between the two teams

Sean McDermott comes into the game at 10-10 overall, with a loss he would be 10-11
McDermott=111
He was hired on 1/11
New York=111
Packers enter this game with a record of 1-1-1
Mike McCarthy's birthday is 11/10

Pick: Green Bay Packers


Buccaneers vs Bears

Bears lead the series 38-20
The Bears can get win #39 on 9/30

Mitch Trubisky will either become 7-9 or 6-10
Tampa Bay=79
79 is the 22nd prime, Tampa Bay would be 2-2 with a loss

Mitch Trubisky=61
61 is the 18th prime, Bears=18

Fitzpatrick can stay on 50 wins on date numerology of 50, 9+30+2+0+1+8=50
And get his 72nd loss against Mitchell Trubisky=72

Pick: Chicago Bears


Dolphins vs Patriots

The date numerology matches up well with Tom Brady:

9+30+20+18=77 (Tom Brady was Born in 77')
9+30+2+0+1+8=50 (Brady=50)
9+3+0+2+0+1+8=23 (Brady=23)

Date numerology of 57, Brady can stay on 57 losses
Brady playing 58 days after birthday, can pick up 58th loss

Tannehill=41, is 40-40 overall, so he either is gonna get his 41st win or loss
Tom Brady is going for his 130th home win, 41 is the 13th prime

The Dolphins lead the series 53-49
Meaning they can get loss #50 on a day with 50 date numerology, 9+30+2+0+1+8=50

Pick: New England Patriots


Eagles vs Titans

Carson Wentz is going for his 20th win, Titans=20
Marcus Mariota can stay on 20 regular season wins
Doug Pederson can get his 23rd win on a date with 23 numerology, 9+3+0+2+0+1+8=23

Whoever loses will be 2-2, Eagles=22

Pick: Philadelphia Eagles


Seahawks vs Cardinals

Russell Wilson going for win #75 against the Arizona Cardinals=75
Russell Wilson would also stay on 36 losses, Cardinals=36

Pete Carroll is going for his 81st win with the Seahawks against the Cardinals=81
And he can stay on 81 losses for his career.
Arizona=39, game is on 9/30
39th matchup between the two teams
Josh Rosen is starting, he was drafted pick #10, Ten=39

Pick: Seattle Seahawks


49ers vs Chargers

Philip Rivers can stay on 93 losses on 9/30

CJ Beathard can become 1-5 with a loss, 49ers=15
This is the 15th meeting between the teams all-time

Anthony Lynn can improve to 11-9 as Chargers coach against Kyle Shanahan=119

Pick: Los Angeles Chargers


Ravens vs Steelers

49th all-time meeting, Steelers=49 S-exception
Mike Tomlin=49

Ben Roethlisberger=92
September 30th leaves 92 days left in the year

Steeler=39
Big Ben=39
Game on 9/30
SNF=39
Mike Tomlin coaching 167 days before his birthday, 167 is 39th prime
Harbaugh=39

Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers


Chiefs vs Broncos

10+1+20+18=49
10+1+2+0+1+8=22 (Broncos can become 2-2)
1+0+1+2+0+1+8=13
10+1+18=29

Patrick Mahomes can become 5-0 with a win
Chiefs=50
The Chiefs can become 4-0
Broncos=40 (reverse)
Undefeated=40/50

The Chiefs are going for their 62nd win against the Broncos
Patrick Mahomes=62

This is tough because of the intertwine between the broncos/chiefs/jets/jaguars the next 2 weeks, If the chiefs win this week I expect them to win next week also, but if they lose they might drop 2 straight. The Broncos will likely be 3-2 after week 5, but it depends on if they win this week or next.

Pick: Kansas City Chiefs

Picks:

Indianapolis Colts (Weird line movement with colts now only being a 1 point favorite)
Green Bay Packers (Lock of the Week)
New England Patriots
Chicago Bears (*Riskiest pick of the week, could go either way with Trubisky's record)
Philadelphia Eagles
Seattle Seahawks
Los Angeles Chargers
Pittsburgh Steelers
Kansas City Chiefs

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